Goat Funded Trader Launches Goat Funded Predictions: Kalshi-Priced Challenges From $79, With Tight Payout Caps

What happened

Goat Funded Trader has launched Goat Funded Predictions, a challenge for trading prediction markets: yes/no contracts on sports, politics, crypto, economics and entertainment events. GFT announced it on X (opens in new tab) on 27 October 2026 at 6:16 PM Israel time, and the new @GoatPredicts account (opens in new tab) called it "officially live" the next morning.

It runs on the same Goat Funded Trader login. Every market and price comes from Kalshi, according to GFT's help center. As with GFT's other programs, you trade simulated capital, not real contracts.

GFT calls it "the first prediction markets prop firm." It isn't: we covered PropMarket's launch in June. What is new is an established prop brand with a large existing trader base moving into it.

Prices and accounts

There is one model, a 1-Step Evaluation, in three sizes. Same rules for every size.

The site shows those prices against crossed-out "regular" prices of $110, $200 and $449. The launch code LAUNCH8 takes 8% off. An optional add-on raises the profit split from 80% to 100% for 20% more on the evaluation price, and it can only be bought at checkout.

The rules

From GFT's Predictions help center (opens in new tab):

• Profit target: 8%, within 120 days. No minimum trading days in the evaluation.
• Max drawdown: 3.5%, trailing end of day. On $100K the floor starts at $96,500 and moves up with each new end-of-day high. It stops trailing once it reaches your starting balance.
• Daily drawdown: 2% of the balance at the start of the day. The day resets at 5 PM New York time, which is 11 PM Israel time this week and midnight from 1 November.
• Consistency: 35%, in the evaluation and on the funded account. On a $100K evaluation, no single day can contribute more than $2,800 of the $8,000 target.
• Price limit: you can only open positions in contracts priced at 85 cents or below. That rules out "near-certain" outcomes.
• Position limits: up to 30 open positions, plus the per-event share cap above (YES and NO count together).
• No bots or automated tools. Alerts and signals are fine if you place every trade yourself.
• Funded inactivity: at least one trade every 15 days.
• Funded capital cap: $300,000 across all your funded Predictions accounts.

The prohibited-practices list is built for this kind of market. It bans trading on non-public information about how an event will resolve, trying to influence an event you control, and spreading one bet across related markets to get around the share limit (for example, the same candidate across several state markets).

Payouts: the catches

• Every 14 days, via Rise or crypto, after a one-time KYC check with Sumsub. The minimum payout is $100.
• Three qualifying days per cycle: each one needs realized profit of at least 0.5% of the starting balance ($500 on $100K). The homepage rules table says "5" days. The help center and the homepage FAQ both say 3.
• The cap is tight. On $100K you can take out at most $2,500 per cycle after the split. Profit above the cap stays in the account as equity, but it does not carry over as withdrawable profit into the next cycle. It only acts as a cushion against drawdown.
• Your first payout locks the floor at your starting balance, permanently. If you withdraw all your profit, the account sits right on the floor and is closed. GFT tells traders to leave a buffer.

Put together: on $100K, an 8% gain is $8,000 and your 80% share is $6,400, but no more than $2,500 of it can be withdrawn in that cycle.

Who can sign up

GFT's restricted-country list (opens in new tab) for Predictions does not include the United States. It does include Israel, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Chile, Ukraine and Russia, among others. Check the list before you buy, because GFT says it can change at any time.

Bottom line

Goat Funded Predictions is a low-cost way to try a prediction-market evaluation with an established prop brand, and US traders aren't excluded. The terms are tight, though. You get a 3.5% trailing drawdown, a 35% consistency rule, an 85-cent price cap, and per-cycle payout caps that keep profit above the cap in the account. If you want to try it, read the rules (opens in new tab) and payout terms (opens in new tab) first.

Sources: Goat Funded Trader launch post on X (opens in new tab) (27 October 2026); Goat Funded Predictions launch post (opens in new tab) and LAUNCH8 post (opens in new tab) (28 October 2026); goatfundedpredictions.com (opens in new tab) and its help center (Get started (opens in new tab), Trading rules (opens in new tab), Payouts (opens in new tab), articles dated 27 October 2026), read 29 October 2026. Terms change; confirm them on GFT's site.